Here we go again the rematch of super bowl 42.
Many New Englanders wanted to see the Giants in the superbowl for the revenge. I was not one of them. The Giants create a tough matchup for the patriots. 2 weeks ago i was sure it was doom for the patriots. Now i believe the patriots will earn the victory.
Back in the offseason 2 owners stood above all in assuring we got this season in. Kraft of the Pats and Mara of the Giants. It is only fitting that these 2 franchise will be playing each other for the ultimate prize. Both teams got here in separate ways. The patriots finished 13-3 on the season and had home field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs. They stayed home and demolished the not ready for prime time Broncos and then squeaked out a victory on a botched fg against the Ravens. The Giants won the NFC east on the final weekend of the season at 9-7. They were the 4 seed and demolished Falcons and their QB Matty Ice. A player who melts like ice in the biggest games.. Who didn't see the Giants beating the Packers I know i did. They hung with them in the regular season and then shut them down on division weekend. In the NFC Championship game they got lucky as well with the 9ers Muffing 1 punt and fumbling away another.
Here we sit the morning of the super bowl. I take this game differently then 4 years ago. I'm not over it at all but its a different entity. Super Bowl 42 was like a bad divorce you had all the joy right there but then the bitch just took it away. Now you are with a new wife or girlfriend for a new experience. The 2011 Patriots are a reason to believe things always happen for a reason. The pats are favorites but they are not the better team. Vegas is not full of dumbies by making the Pats favorites they can get more money in on the Giants. The Pats will use this to their advantage they might be listed as the favorites but listen to any person with an opinion and most pick the Giants.
On paper i see a mismatch when the Giants Offense goes up against the Pats Defense. Or at least it looks that way. The patriots are playing some of their best defensive football at the most important time. Vince Wilfork is playing better than he has in all his years in New England. The Pats will move in and out of 3 and 4 man fronts all game. They have played more zone this season then i can remember. My thought is the BB has figured something out. No longer can you play as physical on the wr so by going to zone the pats will try to clog the lanes to throw to Nicks, Manningham, Ballard and Cruz. They need a 4 or 5 man pass rush to get after Eli Manning and make him throw into the zone coverage. The patriots can stop the run but their main focus will be 1 player. In 2001 it was Marshall Faulk In 2003 it was stopping the 2 headed Carolina rushing attack and in 2004 it was stop Brian Westbrook. In all 3 wins the Patriots did what needed to happen to win. In 2007 the pats game plan on D was to have manning beat them and stop the run. They played it to perfection only problem was Manning beat them. This year the key will be to stop the big pass play from manning he is the key to this game. Eli is an Elite QB and he is going to get his team in the best position to win. The key is to stop Hakeem Nicks. Cruz will get his catches but Nicks is the man who can get the huge play. The Patriots in order to win need to limit the Giants to 3's and not 7's. It will be bend but don't break at its finest. Belichick and Matt Pratricia will have the right design to limit Eli Manning and the Giants receivers big play ability.
The Patriots Offense has been hard to stop all season. The 2 TE attack has been vital. With Gronk and Hernandez the Pats can come out in so many different looks. Everyone talks about the front 4 wreaking havoc against the pats. They did in the Superbowl 4 years ago but this year will be different. The pats in 07 needed more time. This team is a quick strike offense using both TEs and Welker to short pass their way down the field. That will help keep the Giants NASCAR front from getting constant pressure on Brady. Another way for the pats to help on this is bringing in Nate Solder as a 3rd TE or basically an extra tackle. The pats need to establish a run game with the Law Firm as well. An effective run game can lead to some nice play action passes and with the way the pats can be multidimensional with their packages they can spread the giants out and attack. And if all else fails just go to the hurry up no one else has stopped that this season.
I believe the pats win the coin toss and defer. They hold the Giants and get good field position on a punt. The Pats will make it 7-0 and then after a giants fg it will be 14-3 patriots lead after another TD. Right before half time the Giants will make it 14-10. The pats will take the ball and get a FG to make it 17-10. Manning will tie the game up right before the start of the 4th quarter. Brady will have New england in a frenzy as he throws a TD pass to Gronk with 2 mins to go to put the Pats up. Only we will watch Manning tie it up on a last minute drive.
And......
Sure this is a rematch but these teams are totally different than they were 4 years ago. And this time the Patriots will win and bring the Lombardi back home. Patriots 30-24 in overtime on a Kevin Faulk 2 yard TD run to finish his career.
The Patritos will be Superbowl champions and Owner Robert Kraft will have a little happiness to help with the heart ache of losing his sweetheart. The season has been dedicated to Myra Kraft and the team will not disappoint.
Super Bowl MVP Rob Gronkowski. He and his ankle will be fine and will have 8 for 115 and 2 tds
Sunday, February 5, 2012
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